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Table 4 Extinction probability and fractions of runs leading to an attack rate (AR) lower than 10%, for the various contact patterns representations and as a function of the role class of the seed

From: An infectious disease model on empirical networks of human contact: bridging the gap between dynamic network data and contact matrices

Seed class

Number of runs

DYN

HET

HOM

CM

CMD

  

Ext. Prob;

AR <10%

Ext. Prob;

AR <10%

Ext. Prob;

AR <10%

Ext. Prob;

AR <10%

Ext. Prob;

AR <10%

All

16000

0.62

0.81

0.35

0.63

0.28

0.32

0.21

0.27

0.37

0.59

Assistants

1344

0.44

0.51

0.13

0.16

0.10

0.12

0.10

0.12

0.11

0.14

Doctors

2690

0.70

0.84

0.32

0.64

0.27

0.30

0.40

0.55

0.42

0.66

Nurses

2823

0.51

0.64

0.26

0.33

0.11

0.13

0.20

0.26

0.21

0.30

Patients

4975

0.68

0.90

0.40

0.79

0.39

0.44

0.18

0.23

0.47

0.74

Care-givers

4168

0.62

0.89

0.31

0.77

0.32

0.37

0.16

0.20

0.42

0.72

  1. Parameter values are: 1/σ = 0.5 days, 1/ν = 1 day, and β = 2.8 10-3 s-1.