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Table 2 Expected Number of Secondary Cases per Index Case by Disease Stage and Contact Type

From: Finding and removing highly connected individuals using suboptimal vaccines

Disease stage s

Expected number of secondary cases E s,n

 

in the close network

(toroidal grid; 8 contacts constant)

in the casual network

(Barabási-Albert highly skewed network starting with 12 contacts; average: 24)

Prodromal fever

0.54

0.54

Early rash

2.39

0.80

Middle rash

0.21

0.07

Late rash

0.34

0.11