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Table 1 Comparisons of tested models

From: Forecasting incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in China using ARIMA model

Model Ljung-Box Q statistic Pvalue AIC
ARIMA(0,2,1) 5.78 0.3869 117.7200
ARIMA(1,2,1) 7.97 0.0488 119.6435
ARIMA(0,3,1) 5.95 0.3113 116.7075
ARIMA(1,3,1) 8.46 0.0453 118.6647
ARIMA(2,3,1) 9.33 0.0260 120.1425