|  | All BM cases (n = 2382) | Confirmed cases (n = 1297) | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prognostic Factors | Sequelae/prognostic factor* | (%) | RR | (95% CI) | P-value | Sequelae/prognostic factor* | (%) | RR | (95% CI) | P-value | |
Clinical features at presentation | |||||||||||
   Fever ≥ 38°C | Yes | 33/1067 | (3.1) | 0.53 | (0.19-1.46) | 0.182 | 29/607 | (4.8) | 0.54 | (0.17-1.69) | 0.237 |
 | No | 4/69 | (5.8) |  |  |  | 3/34 | (8.8) |  |  |  |
   Headache a | Yes | 16/796 | (2.0) | 0.90 | (0.33-2.42) | 0.501 | 12/386 | (3.1) | 1.19 | (0.34-4.15) | 0.536 |
 | No | 5/223 | (2.2) |  |  |  | 3/115 | (2.6) |  |  |  |
   Vomiting | Yes | 25/1102 | (2.3) | 0.50 | (0.30-0.82) | 0.004 | 17/631 | (2.7) | 0.38 | (0.21-0.68) | < 0.001 |
 | No | 37/808 | (4.6) |  |  |  | 30/422 | (7.1) |  |  |  |
   Meningeal | Yes | 22/1120 | (2.0) | 0.79 | (0.32-1.92) | 0.372 | 14/601 | (2.3) | 0.61 | (0.23-1.68) | 0.246 |
   signs b | No | 6/240 | (2.5) |  |  |  | 5/132 | (3.8) |  |  |  |
   Haemorrhagic | Yes | 7/859 | (0.8) | 0.17 | (0.08-0.36) | < 0.001 | 6/505 | (1.2) | 0.17 | (0.07-0.39) | < 0.001 |
   rash | No | 66/1348 | (4.9) |  |  |  | 49/703 | (7.0) |  |  |  |
   Seizures | Yes | 33/299 | (11.0) | 4.61 | (2.88-7.38) | < 0.001 | 25/182 | (13.7) | 4.03 | (2.37-6.85) | < 0.001 |
 | No | 32/1338 | (2.4) |  |  |  | 25/734 | (3.4) |  |  |  |
   Bulging | Yes | 33/390 | (8.5) | 2.80 | (1.52-5.15) | < 0.001 | 26/256 | (10.2) | 2.32 | (1.17-4.59) | 0.012 |
   fontanelle c | No | 14/463 | (3.0) |  |  |  | 11/251 | (4.4) |  |  |  |
   Grunting c | Yes | 30/422 | (7.1) | 2.14 | (1.17-3.92) | 0.011 | 25/282 | (8.9) | 2.00 | (1.00-3.98) | 0.043 |
 | No | 15/452 | (3.3) |  |  |  | 11/248 | (4.4) |  |  |  |
   Poor feeding | Yes | 25/415 | (6.0) | 1.92 | (1.16-3.17) | 0.010 | 20/274 | (7.3) | 1.57 | (0.89-2.76) | 0.117 |
 | No | 34/1081 | (3.1) |  |  |  | 26/558 | (4.7) |  |  |  |
   Shock | Yes | 8/166 | (4.8) | 1.37 | (0.66-2.84) | 0.256 | 6/104 | (5.8) | 1.17 | (0.51-2.71) | 0.710 |
 | No | 49/1392 | (3.5) |  |  |  | 38/772 | (4.9) |  |  |  |
   Coma | Yes | 7/116 | (6.0) | 1.76 | (0.81-3.79) | 0.122 | 6/79 | (7.6) | 1.62 | (0.71-3.73) | 0.187 |
 | No | 49/1427 | (3.4) |  |  |  | 37/791 | (4.7) |  |  |  |
Clinical features at day 3 | |||||||||||
   Fever | Yes | 29/465 | (6.2) | 2.65 | (1.63-4.32) | < 0.001 | 24/305 | (7.9) | 2.65 | (1.50-4.68) | < 0.001 |
 | No | 33/1404 | (2.4) |  |  |  | 21/707 | (3.0) |  |  |  |
   Headache a | Yes | 4/119 | (3.4) | 3.08 | (0.94-10.07) | 0.073 | 3/64 | (4.7) | 5.5 | (1.14-26.65) | 0.049 |
 | No | 8/733 | (1.1) |  |  |  | 3/352 | (0.9) |  |  |  |
   Vomiting | Yes | 2/22 | (9.1) | 3.13 | (0.81-12.09) | 0.139 | 2/15 | (13.3) | 3.63 | (0.95-13.79) | 0.110 |
 | No | 45/1548 | (2.9) |  |  |  | 31/843 | (3.7) |  |  |  |
   Meningeal | Yes | 9/252 | (3.6) | 3.05 | (1.25-7.41) | 0.015 | 5/141 | (3.5) | 3.16 | (0.93-10.77) | 0.066 |
   signs b | No | 10/853 | (1.2) |  |  |  | 5/446 | (1.1) |  |  |  |
   Haemorrhagic | Yes | 1/264 | (0.4) | 0.11 | (0.02-0.79) | 0.002 | 1/152 | (0.7) | 0.15 | (0.02-1.06) | 0.025 |
   rash | No | 42/1209 | (3.5) |  |  |  | 30/666 | (4.5) |  |  |  |
   Seizures | Yes | 23/71 | (32.4) | 12.75 | (7.89-20.59) | < 0.001 | 17/49 | (34.7) | 10.51 | (6.03-18.33) | < 0.001 |
 | No | 32/1259 | (2.5) |  |  |  | 23/697 | (3.3) |  |  |  |
   Bulging | Yes | 19/109 | (17.4) | 4.77 | (2.67-8.51) | < 0.001 | 13/78 | (16.7) | 2.86 | (1.49-5.49) | 0.001 |
   fontanelle c | No | 22/602 | (3.7) |  |  |  | 20/343 | (5.8) |  |  |  |
   Grunting c | Yes | 7/25 | (28.0) | 6.21 | (3.03-12.72) | < 0.001 | 5/21 | (23.8) | 3.75 | (1.60-8.77) | 0.012 |
 | No | 31/688 | (4.5) |  |  |  | 26/409 | (6.4) |  |  |  |
   Poor feeding | Yes | 8/28 | (28.6) | 9.37 | (4.80-18.27) | < 0.001 | 7/24 | (29.2) | 7.26 | (3.50-15.04) | < 0.001 |
 | No | 36/1180 | (3.1) |  |  |  | 26/647 | (4.0) |  |  |  |
   Shock | Yes | 0/9 | (0.0) | 2.91 | (0.44-19.10) | 0.300 | 0/6 | (0.0) | 3.22 | (0.51-20.42) | 0.278 |
 | No | 43/1250 | (3.4) |  |  |  | 31/699 | (4.4) |  |  |  |
   Coma | Yes | 5/13 | (38.5) | 12.17 | (5.73-25.86) | < 0.001 | 5/11 | (45.5) | 11.6 | (5.50-24.45) | < 0.001 |
 | No | 39/1234 | (3.2) |  |  |  | 27/689 | (3.9) |  |  |  |