Table 4 Total number of cases, peak number of cases and peak day with or without HScontrol for four values of R 0
R 0 value | With HS ? | Probability of outbreak (%) | Total cases | Compared with N (%) | 95% CI | Peak cases | Compared with N (%) | 95% CI | Peak day | Compared with N (%) | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.236 | No | 80 | 3958 | Â | 3575-4298 | 149 | Â | 122-174 | 40 | Â | 23-67 |
| Â | Yes | 41 | 2449 | 61.9% | 895-2989 | 44 | 29.5% | 17-51 | 94 | 235.0% | 48-197 |
1.79 | No | > 99 | 5703 | Â | 5539-5872 | 308 | Â | 274-345 | 31 | Â | 22-44 |
| Â | Yes | 97 | 4494 | 78.8% | 4219-4781 | 134 | 43.5% | 107-160 | 48 | 154.8% | 36-71 |
2.419 | No | 100 | 6955 | Â | 6860-7066 | 503 | Â | 460-561 | 25 | Â | 22-30 |
| Â | Yes | 100 | 6299 | 90.6% | 6142-6434 | 335 | 66.6% | 293-380 | 34 | 128.0% | 29-43 |
2.596 | No | 100 | 7522 | Â | 7435-7585 | 658 | Â | 607-720 | 22 | Â | 19-26 |
| Â | Yes | 99 | 7154 | 95.1% | 7063-7259 | 495 | 75.2% | 461-539 | 28 | 127.3% | 23-32 |