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Table 3 Characteristics associated with the first severe morbidity during follow-up in untreated HIV-infected children.

From: Severe morbidity and mortality in untreated HIV-infected children in a paediatric care programme in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire, 2004-2009

     

Univariate analysis

Ajusted analysis

        

Full model

Reduced model

Variable

# patients

# events

Observed rate (/100 CY)

sHR†

95%CI‡

 

sHR

95%CI

P

sHR

95%CI

P

Overall

 

405

58

17.80

         

Age at baseline (years)

     

0.54

  

0.39

  

0.07

 

< 1

64

7

12.78

1

-

 

1

-

 

1

-

 
 

[1 - 2]

42

7

20.36

1.29

(0.47-3.58)

 

0.45

(0.12 - 1.64)

 

0.52

(0.13 - 2.01)

 
 

[2 - 5]

108

17

20.41

1.24

(0.53 - 2.91)

 

0.43

(0.14 - 1.31)

 

0.42

(0.14 - 1.32)

 
 

[5 - 10]

142

21

16.65

0.94

(0.41 - 2.15)

 

0.38

(0.13 - 1.14)

 

0.30

(0.10 - 0.97)

 
 

[10 - 15]

49

4

14.58

0.45

(0.12 - 1.70)

 

0.23

(0.05 - 1.02)

 

0.15

(0.03 - 0.66)

 

Immunodeficiency

     

0.87

  

0.91

  

0.86

 

No

112

29

13.61

1

-

 

1

-

 

1

-

 
 

Yes

106

15

39.24

0.84

(0.43-1.63

 

0.88

(0.47 - 1.65)

 

0.84

(0.43 - 1.63)

 
 

Unknown

98

14

18.75

0.91

(0.46 - 1.77)

 

1.02

(0.54 - 1.93)

 

1.03

(0.51 - 2.07)

 

Gender

      

0.78

  

0.95

  

0.77

 

Male

216

32

18.07

1

-

 

1

-

 

1

-

 
 

Female

189

26

17.46

0.93

(0.54 - 1.60)

 

0.91

(0.54 - 1.58)

 

0.91

(0.51 - 1.61)

 

History of a PMTCT intervention

    

0.11

  

0.19

  

0.05

 

No

267

41

21.72

1

-

 

1

-

 

1

-

 
 

Yes

65

5

7.41

0.43

(0.15 - 1. 02)

 

0.32

(0.06 - 1. 63)

 

0.16

(0.04 - 0.72)

 
 

Unknown

73

12

17.20

1.04

(0.53 - 2.02)

 

1.21

(0.56 - 2.59)

 

0.82

(0.42 - 1.59)

 

Mother known to be deceased

    

0.13

  

0.26

   
 

No

308

48

18.19

1

-

 

1

-

    
 

Yes

97

10

16.10

1.78

(0.84 - 3.14)

 

1.51

(0.73 - 3.09)

    

Cotrimoxazole prophylaxis at baseline

   

0.35

      
 

No

134

17

15.60

1

-

       
 

Yes

271

41

18.89

1.33

(0.73 - 2.43)

       

Follow-up Centre

     

0.05

  

0.14

   
 

Cepref

131

50

21.92

1

-

 

1

-

    
 

MTCT

92

8

8.17

0.43

(0.18 - 1)

 

0.45

(0.16 - 1.29)

    
  1. Children followed-up over 18 months by the CePReF and the MTCT-Plus programme, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire (January-2004-December 2009). n = 405. Fine and Gray Model CY: Child Years; †sHR: subdistribution hazard ratio; ‡95% confidence interval