Skip to main content

Table 3 Characteristics of univariate and multivariate models using climatic variables the most correlated to dengue incidence: Coefficients, standard error and p-value of parameters, AIC, RMSE for predictions of the year 2007 3 months-ahead, * p-value < 0.05 significant

From: Time series analysis of dengue incidence in Guadeloupe, French West Indies: Forecasting models using climate variables as predictors

SARIMA model

Coefficients

Standard error

T- statistic

P-value

AIC

RMSE

Univariate model

    

951

0.85

Relative humidity _lag7

1.445

1.423

1.016

0.309

951

0.76

Minimum temperature _lag5

0.108*

0.068

1.593

0.030

950

0.72

Average temperature _lag11

0.228*

0.102

2.235

0.025

948

0.74