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Table 4 Fit statistics for models with different sets of parameters allowed to vary across epidemic year.

From: Modeling the variations in pediatric respiratory syncytial virus seasonal epidemics

Model:

Min RSE Models

Min RMSE Models

Schwarz Criterion

Parameters that vary by epidemic year

Sum RSE

Sum % Error

Sum RMSE

Sum % Error

RSE

RMSE

Time Offset

128

114

4.3

197

20050

2905

Transmission Parameter

152

127

4.6

217

20992

3288

Detection Fraction

154

202

4.6

221

21073

3287

Time Offset & Transmission Parameter

115

58

3.8

179

19556

2239

Time Offset & Detection Fraction

122

110

4.1

185

19871

2736

Transmission Parameter & Detection Fraction

147

119

4.4

218

20936

3254

All

113

75

3.5

188

19578

1946

  1. The RSE and RMSE column values represent the models with the minimum of the fit statistic over that category. The % error is the sum of the absolute values of the % error in estimating epidemic size.