Table 3 Model parameters estimated from the 2008 South Korean epidemic.
From: Multi-agent modeling of the South Korean avian influenza epidemic
Description | Parameter | Fixed or Estimated | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Size of unit square | - | Fixed | 37.5 km × 37.5 km |
Infection probability | Ï„ | Estimated | 0.429 day-1 |
Chicken incubation period | μ | Fixed | 2.5 days |
Duck incubation period | ν | Estimated | 7.2 days |
Quarantine radius | λ | Estimated | 0.293 units |
Long range relocation probability | ω | Estimated | 0.0083 day-1 |
Short-range relocation rate constant | ψ | Estimated | 162 units-1 |
Infection spreading distance | γ | Fixed | 0.15 unit |
Death probability of infected birds | θ | Fixed | 0.5 day-1 |
Delay in reporting outbreaks | Ï• | Fixed | 1 days |