Figure 5

The sensitivity of the different containment parameters are shown if containment efforts began 50 days after the first case. Results of simulations are shown for different values of infection probabilities and incubation periods. Representative values of λ are 0.16 (dark green), 0.32 (green), 0.64 (light green) and 1.28 (yellow green) in Figures A and B, and 0.16 (dark blue), 0.32 (blue), 0.64 (light blue) and 1.28 (grayed blue) in Figures C and D. A, The fractional number of healthy birds in poultry farms as the function of τ is shown with normal chicken and duck incubation periods. B, The fractional number of healthy birds in poultry farms as the function of τ is shown without the incubation periods. C, The fractional number of culled birds in poultry farms as the function of τ is shown with normal chicken and duck incubation periods. D, The fractional number of culled birds in poultry farms as the function of τ is shown without the incubation periods.