Comparison of the epidemic incidence and size. Incidence profiles and epidemic size for GLEaM and the agent-based model at the global level. Time is expressed in days since the first importation of infected individuals in Italy. Results for three values of the reproductive number are shown from left to right: R
0 = 1.5, R
0 = 1.9, R
0 = 2.3. Average profiles (lines) and 95% CI (shaded areas) are shown.