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Table 3 Estimation of lives saved by Global Fund-supported ARV cumulatively between 2003 and December 2007.

From: Lives saved by Global Fund-supported HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria programs: estimation approach and results between 2003 and end-2007

Region Countries withGF-supportedARV programme People currently on ARV, end-2007 Cumulative life-years on ARV,2003-2007 Average lives saved per person currently on ARV, end-2007*
East Africa 11 460,228 807,514 0.466
Western Africa 17 127,344 257,022 0.466
Southern Africa 9 496,449 864,069 0.466
North Africa & Middle East 10 21,383 28,104 0.466
South Asia 4 102,545 123,989 0.502
East Asia and The Pacific 8 157,602 349,257 0.502
Eastern Europe & Central Asia 16 17,667 28,165 0.352
Latin America & Caribbean 16 64,401 138,682 0.447
Global total 91 1,447,619 2,596,804 0.466
95% Uncertainty range   (1,410,000-1,486,000)    
Region Lives saved by end-2007 Average life-years gained per patient-year of ARV, 2003-7* Life-years gained up to end-2007
   (95% UR)    (95% UR)
East Africa 214,538 (201,129-241,355) 0.424 342,386 (308,860-392,364)
Western Africa 59,362 (55,652-66,782) 0.424 108,977 (99,488-124,118)
Southern Africa 231,423 (216,959-260,351) 0.424 366,365 (328,202-421,405)
North Africa & Middle East 9,968 (9,345-11,214) 0.424 11,916 (10,715-13,679)
South Asia 51,505 (37,599-67,987) 0.443 54,927 (38,585-73,797)
East Asia and The Pacific 79,159 (57,786-104,489) 0.443 154,721 (110,765-206,085)
Eastern Europe & Central Asia 6,224 (4,419-9,634) 0.314 8,844 (6,220-13,722)
Latin America & Caribbean 28,813 (21,898-44,314) 0.351 48,677 (36,605-75,042)
Global total 681,000 (619,000-774,000) 0.409 1,097,000 (993,000-1,249,000)
  1. ARV service delivery results are from country reports to Global Fund secretariat. The table excludes multi-country grants in the Americas and Western Pacific. Country groupings, including certain regions, are as per the Global Fund regional categorizations http://www.theglobalfund.org/. HIV survival assumptions from the UNAIDS 2007 consensus epidemiological model package [24]. Proportional errors are shown for the two sources of error considered: mortality assumptions used in the Spectrum demographic model [26].
  2. * weighted by country population size.
  3. UR = 95% Uncertainty range.